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Feather brained over avian flu

Governments are good at wasting our money.  After all, that’s their job.

But the enormous amount of money that is being spent on avian flu vaccines for key public workers has to be up there as one of the most wasteful around.

The UK government last week committed a further £155m of public money on a new vaccine that doesn’t yet exist.

Absurd as that may sound, it is in fact a step in the right direction as nobody knows what the profile of the strain is until it begins to be transmitted between humans, if it ever happens at all.

So GlaxoSmithKline, the happy recipients of the government’s beneficence, will be preparing an appropriate vaccine the moment it knows what the human form of the avian ‘bird’ flu virus looks like.

Not that the UK government has been that smart, really.  It has already wasted millions of pounds buying in 14.6 million doses of Tamiflu, which even the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention in the States has said is useless.

Although everyone agrees it is useless, the US government has spent $2 billion buying in 20 million doses of Tamiflu, followed by the Canadian government, whose own health spokesman reiterated the concerns about the vaccine.

All of this activity presupposes that the avian flu epidemic will actually happen.  In 2005 we were warned that millions of us were about to die from ‘bird’ flu, more properly known as influenza A (H5N1) virus.  

Since then, we have barely heard a dickey-bird (pun intended).
Published 22 August 2007 10:46 by Bryan Hubbard

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Crawford Kilian said:

If only your assessment were correct, I could quit flu-blogging and get on with my life. H5N1 is a major economic problem for countries from Togo and Nigeria to Indonesia and Vietnam. It continues to kill people in Egypt, Vietnam, and Indonesia...most recently, two unfortunate young women on the island of Bali this week.

In Indonesia, four out of five persons who get it will die. The absolute numbers are still small compared to dengue or malaria (never mind AIDS), but the potential for disaster makes avian flu worth watching...even if we can't predict the precise afternoon it will learn how to jump from human to human.

August 23, 2007 00:19
 

Dr Blockbuster said:

I'm sorry, but I agree with Crawford Kilian.

You might want to read up on the flu pandemic of 1918 and how 40 million died. Yes.. that is the figure .. 40 million!

You can do here:

http://www.blockbusterbooks.co.uk/thelazarusstrainprologue.html  written by an award-winning medical researcher with a PhD in Microbial Genetics ... not something Dr Blockbuster knows too much about!  :wink:

August 23, 2007 01:43
 

Marc Neilson said:

Being the Avian Flu focal person for a large organization here in Indonesia, I must respectfully disagree that Tamiflu is useless. It certainly will not cure Bird Flu but it will give the person taking it at least a fighting chance to minimize its impact assuming they can ingest the pill within 24 hours of the symptoms. Trust me, I will certainly cherish my stock pile.

August 23, 2007 07:33
 

Kris Owens said:

I have monitored news reports about avian flu from around the world for the last year. It looks as if an entire industry has grown up around fanning the fear of a flu pandemic--an industry far larger than it warrants. The biggest problem, at least in the U.S., is what I call "Chicken Little" syndrome. For three years this flu industry has been warning and warning and warning of our imminent demise. People have turned off to this. They don't believe the sky is falling, they aren't reading the reports anymore, and they haven't learned even basic precautions to take should any flu break out.

August 23, 2007 18:22

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